What to know about the Atlantic hurricane season

We expect the southeast quadrant of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season will be the strongest. That will send the above long-range forecasts: https://t.co/6a00uytsxa pic.twitter.com/NXf5FjXJSJ — Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) March 14, 2017

We expect the strongest part of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season to be two months from now, but during that time, this five-year cycle will tell us whether or not this years hurricane season will be the biggest in decades.

Ocean temperatures in the tropical Atlantic are as hot as they’ve been since 2005, and that’s good news for the chance of hurricane activity in the future, according to researchers at Colorado State University. In fact, they say, we’re looking at a near-record year.

The University is not alone in predicting a busy hurricane season. U.S. Climate Prediction Center officials, as well as the National Hurricane Center, have all been similarly bullish about the season, with forecasts ranging from above-normal to unusually busy.

However, forecasters are just as quick to cite potential roadblocks. Meteorologist Ryan Maue recently released an article citing storms to recently weakened systems that may be liable to break up. The potential risk of forming is about five-times greater than there’s risk of hurricanes actually reaching land, he wrote.

All the above forecast and outlooks aren’t based on average data. We know that 2018’s is in its range, but the average turns out to be an average year. Last year’s Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most eventful in years, and this year could be too, if the trend continues.

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